Analysis for the match.
England began the IT20 series with a 41 run victory over South Africa at the County Ground, Bristol on Wednesday evening. The fixture delivered 29 sixes with eight each from Jonny Bairstow and Tristan Stubbs. Thursday’s game takes place over the bridge at Sophia Gardens, Cardiff. Read on as we preview the second game of three in this series. The match begins at 18:30 local time.England won the first T20 international by a pretty big margin as South Africa surprised with its selections and fielding. As a bettor, you have to assume that the team will play its best playing eleven in every match but South Africa left out at least three first-choice players. Make sure you check the playing eleven for the next match before you place your bets, at least for the match-winner market.
All the cricket betting sites have England as the favorite to win but the odds are actually a bit better than what we were getting for the second match. Let us try to find some other exciting betting opportunities to take advantage of.
Must see points.
1). The conditions in Cardiff could favor England's bowling lineup
2). South Africa's team selections were baffling in the previous match and it has now backed itself into a corner
3). Both teams have a powerful batting lineup but we think England's bowling attack is better suited to the conditions
Head to Heads.
Overall Matches - 23
ENG won - 12
SA won - 10
N/R - 1
Last five Head to Heads.
ENG won - 4
SA won - 1
N/R - 0
Match Prediction: ENG to win the match.
1). If ENG won the toss and opted to bowl first, SA could score 160-180 runs.
2). If SA won the toss and opted to bowl first, ENG could score 170-190 runs.
1). Total sixes in the match - over 11.5
We saw 29 sixes being hit in the previous match and while that was definitely more than normal, we think the Over/Under line is still very attractive. Looking at the style of playing and the power in both teams, we like the chances of Over 11.5 sixes being hit in this match.
2). Highest runs in an over - over 19.5 runs.
The mark of 19.5 runs was crossed five times in the previous match. The dimensions of the Cardiff ground are a bit different but we really do think that Over 19.5 runs will be scored at least once.
England smashed 234 in the previous match, a score that had very little chance of being chased down. They got to that total thanks to some brilliant striking from Bairstow and Ali down the order but also because every England batter played at an exceptional strike rate.
We bet against Roy in the previous match and that paid off once more. If he does continue to find a place in the playing eleven, then we suggest continuing to bet against him.
England cleared the boundaries 20 times and while that number will certainly come down, looking at the Total Sixes England betting market is a great idea moving forward in the series as well. We personally prefer the Total Sixes in the Match market because that statistic fluctuates a bit lesser.
One thing to note was that England played Sam Curran at 7. That means the batting is a bit thinner than what we are used to seeing but it does have one additional bowling option. Early wickets could challenge England's all-out aggressive approach.
The bowling attack is very varied and will continue to pose questions to South Africa. Adil Rashid makes a big difference in the middle and Moeen Ali is a great match-up specific option as well. Jordan is hitting the hard lengths and Topley is picking up wickets with the new ball.
The lack of genuine pace is perhaps the one thing England would be worried about.
South Africa clearly wanted to test some of its bench strength ahead of the T20 World Cup because it did not play its best eleven. Rassie van der Dussen, Aiden Markram, and Anrich Nortje are all players that would have been in the playing eleven on a normal basis. Also, Dwaine Pretorius is certainly a much better option than Andile Phehlukwayo.
Now, whether these changes were race-quota determines or whether it was a strategy to develop more players moving forward is beside the point. As a bettor, you cannot now bet on South Africa pre-match. You have to wait for their final team announcement at the toss.
If we take the previous match and assume that the same team will play, South Africa's bowling looked a bit thin. It was short on bowling options and its left-arm spinners were being targetted by the England left-handers. Also, not having Anrich Nortje took away the genuine pace option that is so crucial in T20 cricket.
Ngidi used the slower ball very well to end up with five wickets but Rabada looked far from his best.
The batting is still strong and Tristan Stubbs absolutely dazzled with his power hitting. South Africa still ended up hitting nine sixes (eight of which were from Stubbs' bat) and finished with 193. Had they held their catches, South Africa could have still walked away as the winner.
Looking forward, South Africa has two choices. Make a raft of changes bringing back the players that sat out in which case there would be a lot of confusion in the team once more. The other option is to continue with the team that they had and that is going to put them at a disadvantage against England.
Time - July 28th, 11:00 pm, IST.
Venue - Sophia Gardens - Cardiff, England
The weather forecast for match day is quite good. There is no rain predicted and we should have a slightly overcast but largely dry day to look forward to. As far as the pitch goes, T20 matches at Sophia Gardens are a bit lower scoring than in other parts of the UK. The pitch has some bounce in it and the square boundaries are larger than the straight ones. Teams will look to bang the ball in as well as take the pace off to protect their straight boundaries.
Jos Buttler’s side picked an extra bowler for the first game of the series in Bristol on Wednesday and they may well be tempted to do the same on the bowler friendly surface in Cardiff. We expect David Willey to come in for Sam Curran as England look to closely monitor his workload over the summer.After wobbling with successive defeats to India earlier this summer, England looked to have regained their T20I poise and are now targeting their third straight win in this format.
Possible XI - Jos Buttler (c) (wk), Jonny Bairstow, Jason Roy, Dawid Malan, Liam Livingstone, Moeen Ali, David Willey, Adil Rashid, Reece Topley, Richard Gleeson, Chris Jordan
After missing the opening game of the series on Wednesday evening, we expect Anrich Nortje to come back into the side for this fixture with Andile Phehlukwayo dropping out. Tristan Stubbs and Reeza Hendricks both impressed with the bat in Bristol and we do not expect either to move from their batting positions in that game.South Africa could well have been competitive in Wednesday’s game if they had held their catches. They have talent throughout the side but must do the basics well.
Possible XI - Quinton de Kock (wk), Reeza Hendricks, Rilee Rossouw, David Miller, Heinrich Klaasen, Tristan Stubbs, Anrich Nortje, Kagiso Rabada, Lungi Ngidi, Keshav Maharaj (c), Tabraiz Shamsi